ANAND Agricultural University (AAU), which issues advisories for farmers, has forecast 36 per cent more rainfall than average this monsoon across the state between June and October. Moving a step ahead from its previous monsoon predictions, this time, AAU has prepared a monsoon calendar giving district-wise rainfall prediction for 25 districts, using astro-meteorological technique. The forecasts are depicted in four different colours in a pocket-sized calendar.
AAU vice-chancellor, Prof M C Varshenya said, “Monsoon will arrive in the last week of June at almost all parts of the state; distributing majority of rains during July and August. It has been predicted that state as a whole will receive 36 per cent more rainfall than normal.” He also said that by September 16, monsoon will start ceasing. However, there is a possibility of receiving low to medium rainfall during the first week of October.
AAU registrar V P Macwan said that the shortcomings that the almanac faced last year have been corrected in this version.
Head of meteorology department, Vyas Pande said, “It has the unique feature of quantification of qualitative rainfall predictions made by astro-meteorological technique. For this, frequency analysis was done to find out the low projection limit for forecasting the intensity of daily rainfall prediction.”
Pande said, “This year’s calendar contains daily rainfall forecast with grades like no rainfall, low, medium, heavy and very heavy for each districts.”
AAU has prepared “Monsoon Research Almanac-2006” for eight different agro-climatic zones of the state in 2006, where rainfall predictions were validated with the observed rainfall during the year for all zones of the state, which came out to be 42 per cent to 74 per cent.
Courtesy : Expressindia.com
AAU vice-chancellor, Prof M C Varshenya said, “Monsoon will arrive in the last week of June at almost all parts of the state; distributing majority of rains during July and August. It has been predicted that state as a whole will receive 36 per cent more rainfall than normal.” He also said that by September 16, monsoon will start ceasing. However, there is a possibility of receiving low to medium rainfall during the first week of October.
AAU registrar V P Macwan said that the shortcomings that the almanac faced last year have been corrected in this version.
Head of meteorology department, Vyas Pande said, “It has the unique feature of quantification of qualitative rainfall predictions made by astro-meteorological technique. For this, frequency analysis was done to find out the low projection limit for forecasting the intensity of daily rainfall prediction.”
Pande said, “This year’s calendar contains daily rainfall forecast with grades like no rainfall, low, medium, heavy and very heavy for each districts.”
AAU has prepared “Monsoon Research Almanac-2006” for eight different agro-climatic zones of the state in 2006, where rainfall predictions were validated with the observed rainfall during the year for all zones of the state, which came out to be 42 per cent to 74 per cent.
Courtesy : Expressindia.com